MCDM'25 - paper no. 3
DESIGNING A SCIENTIFIC PLAN FOR ELECTRICITY GENERATION THROUGH THE SIMUS METHOD
Nolberto Munier
Abstract:
In the fight for a better environment and to combat global warming, many countries are eagerly looking for ways to get rid of fossil fuels used in installations for thermal electricity generation. There is world-wide agreement about aiming at complete decarbonization by 2050; this ambitious plan consists in replacing old fossil fuel plants by renewables. This is a monumental task that involves a myriad of difficulties, which is however, reachable, perhaps not exactly at that date but possibly close enough to it. This paper proposes a methodology or strategy, based on facts, statistics and mathematic modelling, and analysis, knowledge and experience of experts, i.e., it is a synthesis of mathematic modelling and human decision- making. This approach, to the best of this author's knowledge, has not been applied before at this scale. It is a difficult issue, because of the need to take into account future events, which entails uncertainty regarding several issues, such as demands, costs, people's reaction to new technologies, potential new developments in energy generation, new paradigms on consumption, etc. We do not even know the risks that could appear in the future, such as the degree of global warming progress, financial risks of building new plants, new patterns for energy generation and storage, etc. In other words, uncertainty is part of the problem.
Keywords:
contamination, fossil fuels, clean energy, MCDM, decarbonization, SIMUS, electric generation, transition
Reference index:
Nolberto Munier, (2025), DESIGNING A SCIENTIFIC PLAN FOR ELECTRICITY GENERATION THROUGH THE SIMUS METHOD, Multiple Criteria Decision Making (19), pp. 53-71
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